Farense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
BOA
1 - 0
FAR
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
FAR
2 - 0
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
UDL
2 - 0
FAR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
FAR
1 - 2
BMA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAR
77%
15%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
SLB
3 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
CAM
1 - 1
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
SLB
2 - 3
PAÇ
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
SPB
3 - 1
SLB
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |