Farense Sub 23 vs Mafra Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
6º
4º
10
6º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 1
LEX
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 2
RIO
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
5 - 1
POR
44%
22%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
FAR
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAN
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mafra Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 2
POR
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
MAF
2 - 3
BRA
31%
27%
42%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 3
MAF
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MAF
2 - 0
RIO
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ACV
1 - 6
MAF
69%
17%
15%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |