Farense U15 vs Pinhalnovense U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
8º
3º
9
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CVP
1 - 2
FAR
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 0
POR
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 2
BLN
17%
18%
65%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
FAR
56%
21%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 1
EST
54%
20%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pinhalnovense U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 3
BLN
6%
12%
83%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 0
PIN
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 2
EST
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OLH
0 - 0
PIN
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 1
FCB
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |