Fareham Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fareham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
8 - 0
STR
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
BMR
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 0
FAR
17%
19%
65%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WES
3 - 0
FAR
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
KNA
0 - 1
FAR
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 1
CAL
66%
17%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
BAS
17%
16%
67%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
CHR
11%
15%
75%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 2
CHR
43%
20%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
8 - 2
WHI
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |