Fano vs Maceratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
JES
3 - 0
FAN
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 1
AMI
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASB
0 - 7
FAN
12%
19%
70%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 0
OLY
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIS
1 - 1
FAN
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAC
3 - 2
GIU
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ASC
0 - 2
MAC
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 2
REC
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAC
3 - 1
JES
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ANC
0 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |