Norwegian Fourth Division Round 5

Fana vs Stabæk II analysis

Fana Stabæk II
45 ELO 44
13.5% Tilt 24.5%
6388º General ELO ranking 8195º
87º Country ELO ranking 111º
ELO win probability
48.2%
Fana
22.1%
Draw
29.7%
Stabæk II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
Fana
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.7%
Win probability
Stabæk II
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Fana
Their league position
Stabæk II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
10º
34
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lysekloster
70
70
100%
Frigg
56
56
100%
Fana
51
51
100%
Os Turn
48
48
100%
Sandviken
44
44
100%
Gjelleråsen
42
42
100%
Skjetten
38
38
100%
Stabæk II
34
34
100%
Lillestrom II
29
29
100%
Lokomotiv Oslo
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Skedsmo
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Gneist
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Ullern II
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Grorud II
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fana
Stabæk II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fana
Stabæk II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fana
Fana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
SKE
Skedsmo
1 - 2
Fana
FAN
12%
16%
72%
45 29 16 0
22 Apr. 2023
FAN
Fana
6 - 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
LOK
79%
14%
7%
45 33 12 0
15 Apr. 2023
OTF
Os Turn
5 - 0
Fana
FAN
20%
19%
61%
48 35 13 -3
10 Apr. 2023
FAN
Fana
2 - 0
Gneist
ILG
92%
6%
2%
48 20 28 0
23 Oct. 2022
FAN
Fana
7 - 1
Bremnes
BIL
80%
13%
7%
48 33 15 0

Matches

Stabæk II
Stabæk II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2023
STA
Stabæk II
0 - 0
Lokomotiv Oslo
LOK
84%
10%
6%
45 32 13 0
24 Apr. 2023
ULL
Ullern II
1 - 0
Stabæk II
STA
2%
6%
91%
46 9 37 -1
16 Apr. 2023
STA
Stabæk II
2 - 1
Sandviken
SAN
78%
13%
8%
46 34 12 0
11 Apr. 2023
GIF
Gjelleråsen
2 - 3
Stabæk II
STA
38%
22%
40%
46 44 2 0
23 Oct. 2022
STA
Stabæk II
10 - 1
IF Ready
IFR
89%
8%
3%
46 25 21 0