Famalicão Sub 23 vs Estrela Amadora Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
6º
3º
14
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 15 |
3º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 15 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
FAM
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FAM
0 - 1
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
VIZ
0 - 2
FAM
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 1
BES
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
EST
3 - 2
FAM
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
1 - 0
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
EST
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
VIZ
3 - 2
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
EST
3 - 2
FAM
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |