Falkirk vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
DUN
0 - 0
FAL
84%
12%
5%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1969 |
PAR
1 - 2
FAL
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1969 |
FAL
3 - 3
CLY
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
DUN
2 - 0
FAL
88%
9%
3%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
FAL
0 - 3
GLA
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KIL
1 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1969 |
RAI
0 - 0
KIL
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1969 |
KIL
1 - 0
HOM
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1969 |
KIL
2 - 1
HIB
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
DUN
2 - 2
KIL
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |