Falkirk vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ICT
0 - 2
FAL
56%
22%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
FAL
4 - 1
STI
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 0
MOS
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 2
DUN
42%
24%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 2
FAL
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 3
STI
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
FOR
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 4
BLA
59%
21%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CWB
1 - 1
FOR
19%
23%
59%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
CLY
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |