Falkirk vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
STI
1 - 0
FAL
14%
19%
67%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 4
FAL
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SHE
0 - 3
FAL
32%
25%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
KIL
4 - 0
FAL
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
KIL
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ELG
1 - 3
STJ
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
ELG
0 - 3
ICT
13%
18%
68%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LOS
0 - 2
ELG
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ELG
4 - 1
ARB
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
THE
0 - 3
ELG
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |