SPL Round 9

Falkirk vs Dundee analysis

Falkirk Dundee
76 ELO 82
7.1% Tilt -1.9%
435º General ELO ranking 669º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Falkirk
22.4%
Draw
35.7%
Dundee

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35.6%
Win probability
Dundee
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-2%
-10%
Dundee

ELO progression

Falkirk
Dundee
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 1949
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
65%
18%
17%
76 83 7 0
20 Apr. 1949
DUN
Dundee
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
63%
19%
18%
76 83 7 0
09 Apr. 1949
TLA
Third Lanark
3 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
54%
21%
25%
77 71 6 -1
02 Apr. 1949
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 3
Partick Thistle
PAR
64%
17%
18%
77 73 4 0
19 Mar. 1949
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
65%
17%
18%
77 74 3 0

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 1949
DUN
Dundee
2 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
68%
17%
15%
83 76 7 0
23 Apr. 1949
DUN
Dundee
4 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
65%
18%
17%
83 75 8 0
20 Apr. 1949
DUN
Dundee
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
63%
19%
18%
83 76 7 0
16 Apr. 1949
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 2
Dundee
DUN
31%
22%
48%
83 69 14 0
11 Apr. 1949
DUN
Dundee
3 - 2
Celtic
CEL
64%
19%
17%
83 77 6 0