Falkirk vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
QOS
2 - 0
FAL
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
FAL
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 2
HIB
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
STJ
3 - 0
FAL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 0
DUN
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 3
DUM
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
3 - 3
PET
34%
23%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 2
DUM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |