SPL Round 5

Falkirk vs Celtic analysis

Falkirk Celtic
72 ELO 83
15.5% Tilt -1.9%
435º General ELO ranking 455º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.4%
Falkirk
22.2%
Draw
28.5%
Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.4%
Win probability
Celtic
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-1%
+30%
Celtic

ELO progression

Falkirk
Celtic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 1936
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
49%
22%
29%
73 68 5 0
21 Nov. 1936
FAL
Falkirk
5 - 0
Dundee
DUN
43%
22%
35%
72 83 11 +1
14 Nov. 1936
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
44%
23%
33%
71 66 5 +1
07 Nov. 1936
FAL
Falkirk
4 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
56%
20%
24%
70 75 5 +1
31 Oct. 1936
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
40%
22%
37%
70 83 13 0

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 1936
CEL
Celtic
3 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
83%
10%
7%
83 63 20 0
21 Nov. 1936
CEL
Celtic
6 - 3
Third Lanark
TLA
71%
16%
14%
83 76 7 0
14 Nov. 1936
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 1
Celtic
CEL
47%
23%
30%
83 74 9 0
07 Nov. 1936
CEL
Celtic
3 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
79%
13%
8%
83 70 13 0
31 Oct. 1936
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 3
Celtic
CEL
22%
21%
57%
83 67 16 0