Falkirk vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
STJ
0 - 1
FAL
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
DUN
4 - 1
FAL
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FAL
3 - 0
ROS
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
ALL
1 - 3
FAL
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
FAL
1 - 1
DUN
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ARB
0 - 0
QOS
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
STM
1 - 0
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 1
STM
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
QOS
3 - 0
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 3
ICT
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |