Sergipano Quarter-finals

Global 1-1

Falcon FC vs Lagarto analysis

Falcon FC Lagarto
45 ELO 49
-11.2% Tilt -11.5%
6223º General ELO ranking 4800º
239º Country ELO ranking 153º
ELO win probability
35.5%
Falcon FC
25.4%
Draw
39.1%
Lagarto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
Falcon FC
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.1%
Win probability
Lagarto
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falcon FC
-20%
+1%
Lagarto

ELO progression

Falcon FC
Lagarto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falcon FC
Falcon FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
FFC
Falcon FC
0 - 0
AD Carmópolis
ADC
69%
18%
13%
45 22 23 0
24 Feb. 2024
SER
Sergipe
0 - 1
Falcon FC
FFC
62%
21%
17%
44 55 11 +1
21 Feb. 2024
FFC
Falcon FC
2 - 2
América SE
AME
57%
21%
22%
44 33 11 0
18 Feb. 2024
ITA
Itabaiana
4 - 0
Falcon FC
FFC
52%
24%
24%
45 52 7 -1
05 Feb. 2024
FFC
Falcon FC
3 - 1
Atlético Gloriense
ATG
56%
22%
22%
45 34 11 0

Matches

Lagarto
Lagarto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2024
LAG
Lagarto
0 - 2
Confiança
CON
23%
25%
52%
50 60 10 0
09 Mar. 2024
ITA
Itabaiana
2 - 2
Lagarto
LAG
50%
26%
25%
50 52 2 0
17 Feb. 2024
LAG
Lagarto
2 - 0
AD Carmópolis
ADC
71%
18%
11%
50 23 27 0
10 Feb. 2024
OSE
Olímpico SE
1 - 3
Lagarto
LAG
14%
24%
62%
50 29 21 0
03 Feb. 2024
LAG
Lagarto
3 - 1
Dorense
DOR
72%
18%
10%
49 32 17 +1