Fakel vs Volgar Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
FAK
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
FAK
61%
24%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FAK
2 - 0
VOL
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
FAK
2 - 2
SKA
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
FAK
1 - 3
VLA
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Volgar Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
2 - 2
CHE
57%
24%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
3 - 0
ZHE
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FAK
2 - 0
VOL
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
URA
0 - 0
VOL
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 3
VOL
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |