Fakel vs Sochi analysis


56	ELO	74
-5%	Tilt	-12.6%
1297º	General ELO ranking	1187º
16º	Country ELO ranking	13º
ELO win probability

17%

Fakel

27.8%

Draw

55.2%

Sochi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

17%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.7%

27.8%

Draw

0-0

13.3%

1-1

11.7%

2-2

2.5%

3-3

0.2%

4-4

<0%

0

27.8%

55.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+17%

-15%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fakel

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 Jul. 2018	TOM 2 - 0 FAK 60% 24% 17%	56	63	7	0
05 Jul. 2018	AVA 2 - 0 FAK 52% 25% 23%	55	60	5	+1
25 Jun. 2018	SAT 2 - 1 FAK 30% 26% 44%	55	47	8	0
12 May. 2018	FAK 2 - 1 VOL 34% 28% 38%	54	59	5	+1
06 May. 2018	KHI 1 - 3 FAK 58% 25% 18%	53	57	4	+1