Iran Second Division Round 22

Fajr Sepasi vs Saipa analysis

Fajr Sepasi Saipa
57 ELO 58
-28.5% Tilt -21.9%
1375º General ELO ranking 2319º
12º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
32.5%
Fajr Sepasi
31.6%
Draw
35.9%
Saipa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
Fajr Sepasi
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
35.9%
Win probability
Saipa
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fajr Sepasi
+1%
+3%
Saipa

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shams Azar Qazvin
70
70
100%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
57
60
99.5%
Saipa
55
58
79%
53
56
73%
Kheybar
52
55
91.5%
Mes Shahr Babak
45
48
79.5%
Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
45
48
79.5%
Chadormalu
45
45
100%
Pars Jonubi
40
43
98.5%
Darya Caspian
10º
38
41
10º
82.5%
Esteqlal Abi Push
11º
37
40
11º
83.5%
Khooshe Talaee
12º
35
38
12º
95%
Bandar Astara
13º
33
36
13º
13.5%
Arman Gohar
14º
33
36
14º
10%
Khalij Fars FC
15º
29
32
15º
88%
Shahrdari Hamedan
16º
28
31
16º
88%
Chooka Talesh
17º
22
25
17º
100%
Padideh Khorasan
18º
0
2
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fajr Sepasi
Saipa
0% 0.5%
0% 99.5%
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fajr Sepasi
Saipa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fajr Sepasi
Fajr Sepasi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2023
CHA
Chadormalu
2 - 1
Fajr Sepasi
FAJ
45%
27%
28%
57 54 3 0
31 Jan. 2023
FAJ
Fajr Sepasi
1 - 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
EKU
38%
30%
32%
57 57 0 0
25 Jan. 2023
AKF
Kheybar
1 - 0
Fajr Sepasi
FAJ
50%
28%
22%
58 60 2 -1
18 Jan. 2023
FAJ
Fajr Sepasi
1 - 0
Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
VPN
39%
29%
32%
57 54 3 +1
11 Jan. 2023
NAS
Nassaji
2 - 1
Fajr Sepasi
FAJ
72%
18%
10%
57 70 13 0

Matches

Saipa
Saipa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2023
SAI
Saipa
3 - 1
Pars Jonubi
PAR
40%
30%
30%
58 57 1 0
31 Jan. 2023
AKF
Kheybar
0 - 0
Saipa
SAI
50%
27%
23%
57 60 3 +1
25 Jan. 2023
SAI
Saipa
1 - 1
Bandar Astara
AST
53%
27%
21%
57 51 6 0
18 Jan. 2023
DBF
Darya Caspian
1 - 0
Saipa
SAI
37%
28%
36%
58 53 5 -1
11 Jan. 2023
SEP
Sepahan Esfahan
3 - 0
Saipa
SAI
73%
18%
9%
59 74 15 -1