Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
28.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
73% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
88% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
88% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 2 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0% | 0% |
|
|
0% | 100% |
|
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
FAJ
47%
29%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
FAJ
0 - 0
AST
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
FAJ
1 - 0
SHF
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DBF
3 - 0
FAJ
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FAJ
1 - 2
KHO
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mes Shahr Babak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
MSB
0 - 0
DBF
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
EMO
0 - 0
MSB
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
MSB
1 - 0
KFM
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KHO
0 - 0
MSB
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MSB
2 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |