Iran League Round 18

Fajr Sepasi vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis

Fajr Sepasi Esteghlal Tehran
72 ELO 75
-21.1% Tilt -14%
1375º General ELO ranking 1250º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.3%
Fajr Sepasi
30.3%
Draw
31.4%
Esteghlal Tehran

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
Fajr Sepasi
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
31.5%
Win probability
Esteghlal Tehran
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fajr Sepasi
-3%
-7%
Esteghlal Tehran

ELO progression

Fajr Sepasi
Esteghlal Tehran
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fajr Sepasi
Fajr Sepasi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2007
PAS
Pas Tehran
1 - 1
Fajr Sepasi
FAJ
55%
25%
20%
72 74 2 0
26 Jan. 2007
FAJ
Fajr Sepasi
0 - 1
Saipa
SAI
38%
30%
32%
72 75 3 0
05 Jan. 2007
FAJ
Fajr Sepasi
1 - 0
Paykan
PAY
43%
30%
27%
71 72 1 +1
29 Dec. 2006
EST
Esteghlal Ahvaz
1 - 0
Fajr Sepasi
FAJ
54%
25%
21%
72 72 0 -1
18 Dec. 2006
FAJ
Fajr Sepasi
1 - 1
Sepahan Esfahan
SEP
35%
29%
36%
72 75 3 0

Matches

Esteghlal Tehran
Esteghlal Tehran
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2007
EST
Esteghlal Tehran
0 - 0
Mes Kerman
SMK
65%
21%
14%
75 68 7 0
26 Jan. 2007
ZOB
Zob Ahan
0 - 0
Esteghlal Tehran
EST
49%
27%
24%
75 74 1 0
05 Jan. 2007
EST
Esteghlal Tehran
2 - 1
Pas Tehran
PAS
56%
24%
20%
74 74 0 +1
31 Dec. 2006
SAI
Saipa
3 - 1
Esteghlal Tehran
EST
52%
26%
22%
75 75 0 -1
17 Dec. 2006
EST
Esteghlal Tehran
0 - 1
Paykan
PAY
64%
22%
14%
75 71 4 0