Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
FAG
2 - 1
ALB
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 0
FAG
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
NAG
0 - 0
FAG
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VIS
2 - 0
FAG
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
FAG
0 - 1
TOK
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
YOK
1 - 1
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MAC
3 - 0
KAR
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SHI
2 - 2
MAC
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 2
KYO
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
KAA
1 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |