Campeonato de Portugal Qualifying Round Round 3

Fafe vs Vitória Guimarães B analysis

Fafe Vitória Guimarães B
47 ELO 50
-5.5% Tilt -21.6%
4215º General ELO ranking 4694º
76º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
36.6%
Fafe
24.8%
Draw
38.7%
Vitória Guimarães B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
Fafe
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.7%
Win probability
Vitória Guimarães B
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fafe
-26%
+46%
Vitória Guimarães B

ELO progression

Fafe
Vitória Guimarães B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fafe
Fafe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2021
MAR
Maria da Fonte
1 - 1
Fafe
FAF
21%
26%
53%
48 31 17 0
23 Apr. 2021
FAF
Fafe
2 - 2
Mirandela
MIR
77%
16%
7%
48 33 15 0
03 Apr. 2021
BRI
Brito SC
1 - 2
Fafe
FAF
9%
18%
74%
48 18 30 0
14 Mar. 2021
FAF
Fafe
2 - 1
Felgueiras 1932
FEL
47%
25%
29%
48 47 1 0
07 Mar. 2021
VSC
Vitória Guimarães B
0 - 0
Fafe
FAF
57%
23%
20%
48 49 1 0

Matches

Vitória Guimarães B
Vitória Guimarães B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2021
VSC
Vitória Guimarães B
4 - 1
Mirandela
MIR
83%
12%
5%
50 33 17 0
24 Apr. 2021
VSC
Vitória Guimarães B
3 - 1
Maria da Fonte
MAR
82%
13%
6%
50 31 19 0
10 Apr. 2021
MON
Mondinense
2 - 4
Vitória Guimarães B
VSC
6%
13%
81%
50 14 36 0
03 Apr. 2021
VSC
Vitória Guimarães B
5 - 1
Rio Ave II
RIO
81%
13%
6%
49 34 15 +1
13 Mar. 2021
BSC
Berco
0 - 4
Vitória Guimarães B
VSC
17%
21%
61%
49 35 14 0