Campeonato de Portugal Group B Round 16

Fafe vs Trofense analysis

Fafe Trofense
53 ELO 52
-3.1% Tilt -11.6%
4241º General ELO ranking 4002º
76º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
42.8%
Fafe
26.2%
Draw
31.1%
Trofense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
Fafe
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
Trofense
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fafe
+44%
-7%
Trofense

ELO progression

Fafe
Trofense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fafe
Fafe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2016
SMA
AR São Martinho
0 - 0
Fafe
FAF
18%
24%
59%
52 35 17 0
20 Dec. 2015
FAF
Fafe
0 - 0
Felgueiras 1932
FEL
61%
22%
17%
53 47 6 -1
13 Dec. 2015
TOR
Torcatense
0 - 1
Fafe
FAF
13%
22%
65%
53 26 27 0
06 Dec. 2015
FAF
Fafe
1 - 0
Varzim B
VAR
83%
12%
5%
53 24 29 0
29 Nov. 2015
MON
Mondinense
1 - 3
Fafe
FAF
20%
23%
57%
53 32 21 0

Matches

Trofense
Trofense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2016
TRO
Trofense
1 - 0
Arões
ARO
83%
13%
5%
53 25 28 0
20 Dec. 2015
ADO
Oliveirense
1 - 0
Trofense
TRO
31%
27%
42%
54 49 5 -1
13 Dec. 2015
VIZ
Vizela
1 - 2
Trofense
TRO
47%
26%
27%
53 55 2 +1
05 Dec. 2015
TRO
Trofense
0 - 0
AR São Martinho
SMA
79%
15%
7%
53 34 19 0
29 Nov. 2015
FEL
Felgueiras 1932
1 - 0
Trofense
TRO
26%
25%
49%
54 46 8 -1