Fafe vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
61.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
11º
9º
44
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 2
FAF
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FAF
1 - 0
VSC
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FAF
1 - 4
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
FAF
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 2
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 3
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
FEL
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 1
CAN
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
FEL
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
VAR
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |