Fafe vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
6º
5º
13
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
FAF
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 1
AMA
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
1DE
1 - 0
FAF
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SCP
0 - 0
FAF
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 2
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 2
BEL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
1DE
0 - 1
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 0
LUS
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |