Fafe vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FAF
0 - 0
TIR
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
INF
1 - 1
FAF
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAF
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FAF
1 - 1
RIB
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FAF
1 - 0
OSL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 2
RIB
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
OSL
2 - 0
AMA
51%
25%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 1
MIR
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 2
AMA
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
VIZ
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |