Fafe vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 2
FAF
15%
23%
62%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FAF
0 - 0
ATA
84%
12%
5%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MIN
0 - 1
FAF
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FAF
0 - 1
AMA
61%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FAF
2 - 1
CAM
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ADO
5 - 1
MON
67%
18%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
ADO
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ADO
2 - 1
MAF
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MIR
2 - 2
ADO
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ADO
0 - 1
ARO
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |