Faetano vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 1
DOM
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
FAE
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TFI
2 - 1
FAE
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
FAE
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COS
1 - 6
VIR
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 0
SGI
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |