Faetano vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
TPE
2 - 1
FAE
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FAE
0 - 1
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
TFI
1 - 1
FAE
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FAE
1 - 2
SGI
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
DOM
4 - 1
FAE
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
FOL
1 - 2
FIO
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
TPE
0 - 1
FOL
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SGI
1 - 2
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
FOL
4 - 0
SGI
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |