Faetano vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
FAE
0 - 3
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
FIO
3 - 0
FAE
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CAI
1 - 1
FAE
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAE
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
COS
0 - 1
FAE
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
DOM
5 - 1
FIO
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
TPE
2 - 2
FIO
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
FIO
2 - 2
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
TFI
2 - 0
FIO
83%
13%
4%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
FIO
2 - 2
CAI
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |