FAC Wien vs Liefering analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
10º
5º
40
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
97% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 50 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 46 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 41 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 40 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 38 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 38 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 23 |
15º
|
97.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 17 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SKN
2 - 0
FAC
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FAC
3 - 0
SVL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
STU
2 - 2
FAC
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 1
FAC
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FAC
1 - 1
RIE
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 1
RIE
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 1
FCL
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
SWB
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SKN
0 - 1
FCL
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 1
DOR
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |