Fabril CD vs Unión Astur CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
FAB
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Astur CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UAS
11 - 2
QUI
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
UAS
3 - 7
MAN
10%
17%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
EST
3 - 1
UAS
53%
21%
26%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
UAS
0 - 3
QUI
27%
23%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 3
UAS
68%
18%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |