Campeonato de Portugal Grupo D. Jor. 21

Fabril Barreiro vs FC Barreirense analysis

Fabril Barreiro FC Barreirense
41 ELO 41
-10.6% Tilt -14.6%
5594º General ELO ranking 5991º
94º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
49.4%
Fabril Barreiro
25.4%
Draw
25.1%
FC Barreirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
Fabril Barreiro
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
FC Barreirense
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fabril Barreiro
+13%
+41%
FC Barreirense

Points and table prediction

Fabril Barreiro
Their league position
FC Barreirense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
39
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vitória Setúbal
53
53
100%
Moncarapachense
49
49
100%
Lusitano Évora 1911
46
46
100%
Louletano
41
41
100%
Sintrense
40
40
100%
O Elvas
39
39
100%
FC Barreirense
39
39
100%
Fabril Barreiro
34
34
100%
Serpa
34
34
100%
Juventude Évora
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Vasco da Gama
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Oriental Lisboa
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Real Sport Clube
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Imortal DC
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fabril Barreiro
FC Barreirense
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fabril Barreiro
FC Barreirense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fabril Barreiro
Fabril Barreiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
SIN
Sintrense
1 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
54%
25%
22%
42 45 3 0
10 Feb. 2024
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
3 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
53%
24%
23%
40 36 4 +2
04 Feb. 2024
ALE
Lusitano Évora 1911
0 - 0
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
48%
26%
26%
40 44 4 0
28 Jan. 2024
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
0 - 1
Imortal DC
IMO
66%
19%
16%
41 31 10 -1
21 Jan. 2024
SER
Serpa
1 - 0
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
41%
26%
33%
41 38 3 0

Matches

FC Barreirense
FC Barreirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2024
FCB
FC Barreirense
2 - 2
Oriental Lisboa
ORI
63%
21%
16%
40 32 8 0
11 Feb. 2024
JUV
Juventude Évora
0 - 1
FC Barreirense
FCB
58%
23%
19%
39 43 4 +1
04 Feb. 2024
FCB
FC Barreirense
0 - 2
O Elvas
OEL
17%
22%
61%
39 62 23 0
28 Jan. 2024
FCB
FC Barreirense
2 - 0
Sintrense
SIN
27%
28%
45%
36 45 9 +3
21 Jan. 2024
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 1
FC Barreirense
FCB
41%
24%
35%
37 34 3 -1
X