UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-3
F91 Dudelange vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
QAR
2 - 0
F91
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
F91
1 - 0
USM
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
F91
1 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
USM
0 - 0
F91
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
F91
0 - 1
DIF
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
QAR
2 - 0
F91
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
ZEN
0 - 1
QAR
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKN
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
QAR
3 - 0
AZA
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
REV
2 - 1
QAR
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |