Extremadura vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAD
2 - 1
EXT
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
EXT
1 - 2
FUE
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
EXT
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CDB
0 - 2
EXT
19%
24%
58%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
DBN
1 - 1
EXT
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
NUM
2 - 0
MIR
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CDT
3 - 2
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
NUM
0 - 1
ALC
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NUM
2 - 0
BUR
83%
13%
4%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
NUM
2 - 2
ATH
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |