Extremadura vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CRD
0 - 0
EXT
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
EXT
1 - 2
LIN
40%
26%
33%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
REC
2 - 1
EXT
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
COR
3 - 1
EXT
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EXT
1 - 0
BAL
25%
23%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 0
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RJA
2 - 2
MAN
75%
18%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAR
17%
24%
59%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAN
71%
20%
9%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
EXT
5 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |