Extension Gunners vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extension Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MIS
1 - 0
EXT
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EXT
2 - 1
GAB
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
EXT
0 - 1
TFC
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
EXT
0 - 2
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
POL
4 - 0
EXT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
NIC
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TAF
1 - 4
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
BOT
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 2
TOW
51%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |