Express SC vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
VIP
2 - 0
EXP
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
NUF
0 - 1
EXP
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
EXP
1 - 1
MFC
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
EXP
0 - 0
UGA
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NFC
0 - 2
EXP
37%
25%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
MCF
2 - 1
PBA
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
JIN
2 - 1
MCF
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
MCF
1 - 2
OND
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 0
MCF
31%
30%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
MCF
3 - 0
NFC
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |