Exeter City vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
EXE
1 - 3
YEO
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 4
EXE
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
EXE
1 - 0
LIN
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 1
EXE
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
EXE
1 - 2
CHA
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 1
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
LEE
5 - 1
NEW
71%
19%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
COV
0 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |