Exeter City vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
EXE
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
EXE
1 - 0
SAL
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
OLD
2 - 1
EXE
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 1
EXE
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 1
CHE
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 2
LEY
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 1
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 2
GRI
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
CUM
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |