Exeter City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
ROC
2 - 0
EXE
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
EXE
0 - 4
SCU
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
EXE
0 - 1
WAL
24%
26%
51%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
HAL
1 - 1
EXE
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
EXE
1 - 3
HUL
37%
31%
32%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
LUT
2 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
BRO
3 - 2
LUT
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
REA
4 - 0
LUT
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
LUT
2 - 1
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
CUM
0 - 2
LUT
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |