Exeter City vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
EXE
1 - 2
TOW
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
EXE
5 - 0
TRA
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
EXE
1 - 2
NOR
55%
22%
24%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CHE
5 - 3
EXE
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
GRI
1 - 4
EXE
17%
24%
60%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
CUM
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
CAM
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 1
FOR
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
TOW
0 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |