Exeter City vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
EXE
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
GRI
0 - 0
EXE
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
EXE
2 - 0
SWI
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
YEO
2 - 2
EXE
27%
27%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 0
STE
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 1
FOR
32%
26%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
COV
1 - 1
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |