Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
EXE
1 - 0
HAL
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
NOR
2 - 1
EXE
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
EXE
1 - 1
PLY
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 2
EXE
60%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
EXE
0 - 2
CHE
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOR
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
PLY
1 - 0
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
GUL
1 - 1
CHE
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
CHE
3 - 0
HAL
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
STF
0 - 2
CHE
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |