Exeter City vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 3
EXE
26%
22%
52%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 0
EXE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EXE
1 - 2
REA
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
STF
0 - 2
EXE
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EXE
1 - 0
CAM
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 1
BAR
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SOL
4 - 3
BAR
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
CHM
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 1
BOS
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |