Exeter City vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 1
OPA
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
WES
0 - 1
EXE
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
EXE
0 - 2
SWA
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 2
EXE
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
EXE
2 - 0
SCU
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 4
BOU
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 1
SWA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
OPA
2 - 3
BOU
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
BOU
0 - 1
SOU
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 0
BOU
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |