Exeter City vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
CUM
0 - 2
EXE
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
EXE
1 - 2
GUL
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
KID
4 - 3
EXE
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
EXE
3 - 1
HUL
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
EXE
1 - 1
SCU
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 1
BOU
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
BOU
1 - 1
OXF
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SWA
2 - 0
BOU
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BOU
1 - 1
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
BOU
0 - 0
KID
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |