Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 5
ADO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRO
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 3
UTR
18%
26%
56%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GRO
7 - 1
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
83%
12%
4%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 0
VIT
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |