Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 1
EXC
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
PSV
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCD
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VVV
2 - 0
MVV
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 1
VVV
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
VVV
1 - 0
HEL
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
VOL
2 - 1
VVV
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
VVV
2 - 1
BOS
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |