Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VOL
0 - 2
EXC
31%
23%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
TEL
1 - 3
EXC
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
EXC
5 - 1
HFC
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
VVV
2 - 0
ZWO
10%
17%
72%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
FCE
3 - 1
VVV
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
VVV
3 - 0
FCO
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
RBC
2 - 0
VVV
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
VVV
2 - 4
BVV
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |